Thursday, September 02, 2004

Can We Get This Thing Started?

The official posturing is over. It is time for the fall campaign to really begin. Of course the questions of who is winning, will win and why will be asked and answered a million times between now and election day. So here is my "official" prediction.

If the fall reflects this past summer, Bush will win and possibly win big. Not because of a split electorate, but because Kerry will not be able to get out the vote. In order for Kerry to win, he must do at least two things. First, he must define himself. He failed to do so at the convention and left the door open for the Republicans to do it for him. Second, he must be able to get people to actually show up at the polls. Kerry has the same problem that Dole had with Clinton. The Republicans just wanted Clinton gone and assumed the rest of the country felt the same. So they were sloppy in their selection of their nominee and the rest is history. The Democrats just want Bush gone and have committed the same error. Kerry is to easy to tag as inconsistent, unsure and liberal. Whether or not these tags are true, they are easy to make into 30 second ads.

So let the games begin! By the way, I enjoy a presidential campaign almost as much as the Olympics. Does that make me abnormal?