Edudude Out On A Limb
The official Edudude prediction for this election is as follows:
Kerry 272 electoral votes
Bush 266 electoral votes
All the lawyers will be sent home early. Even though the electoral college vote will be close, unless the candidates want to nitpick, there will be no need for lawsuits. The big battle will come down to this. Kerry will take Ohio and PA, but it will take Hawaii to put him over the top. Of course, if Bush wins Hawaii, everything can change. This prediction assumes that Bush will win Florida. My reasoning is that I know people in the panhandle who didn't vote in 2000 because Florida was announced as Gore's before the polls closed there. If the panhandle republicans, and there are lots of them, show up this time it could make the difference. Kerry will win MN, WI and MI. Bush will take Iowa. Kerry will win Ohio by 2% of the vote.
While other states will be close, it could very well be that Hawaii decides the next president.
Congress will be 53 republicans, 46 democrats and 1 independent.
President Kerry will face gridlock because congress knows that he does not have a mandate to do anything. Even the electorate will be ambivalent towards him. Forty eight percent of the vote wil be for Bush. Combine this with the fact that 49% of the Kerry vote is more against Bush than in support of Kerry, the democratic president will have little support even amoung dems. In 2006, the democrats will lose even more seats in congress. Look for a challenge to the Kerry presidency in 2008 from the inside.
Do you have a prediction?
Kerry 272 electoral votes
Bush 266 electoral votes
All the lawyers will be sent home early. Even though the electoral college vote will be close, unless the candidates want to nitpick, there will be no need for lawsuits. The big battle will come down to this. Kerry will take Ohio and PA, but it will take Hawaii to put him over the top. Of course, if Bush wins Hawaii, everything can change. This prediction assumes that Bush will win Florida. My reasoning is that I know people in the panhandle who didn't vote in 2000 because Florida was announced as Gore's before the polls closed there. If the panhandle republicans, and there are lots of them, show up this time it could make the difference. Kerry will win MN, WI and MI. Bush will take Iowa. Kerry will win Ohio by 2% of the vote.
While other states will be close, it could very well be that Hawaii decides the next president.
Congress will be 53 republicans, 46 democrats and 1 independent.
President Kerry will face gridlock because congress knows that he does not have a mandate to do anything. Even the electorate will be ambivalent towards him. Forty eight percent of the vote wil be for Bush. Combine this with the fact that 49% of the Kerry vote is more against Bush than in support of Kerry, the democratic president will have little support even amoung dems. In 2006, the democrats will lose even more seats in congress. Look for a challenge to the Kerry presidency in 2008 from the inside.
Do you have a prediction?
posted by EduDude at 4:13 PM
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